The question is not whether south Sudan is going for independence or not, the question is what is going to happen after the month of January next year!
everyone seems to be expecting the worse! the UN is already preparing for crisis when the south chooses independence. The international crisis group has predicted that the boarder between the two nation is going to be a cause of tension specially when it come to people movement between the two sides.
I will focus on what i would expect to happen in the north mainly. There are very strange phenomena that is happening in the north, first the NCP suddenly woke up to the possibility of independent south Sudan! and it is trying to insure southern vote for unity in the coming four months, let us not forget the party had almost whole five years to do so and only now it start to take action against northern who raise their demand for the separation of south Sudan(alintibaha news paper). the second thing worth mention is some out of touch elite in Khartoum who just could not realise or digest the fact that Sudan map is going to change, and they should get used to it. they still call on southern and remind them of the cultural ties between north and south which should the basis of unity(ironically they are the same basis for which some separatists base their argument upon), and the British should be the one to get the blame for the civil war and all the killing, displacement, and torture that took place during the 20 year civil war. just because many southern preferred to seek refuge in the north does not mean they are going to forget what happened in the south and it can not be the foundation for unity!
the separation of the south will have huge impact on both sides, but i would presume the impact on the north is going to be more huge but it is not necessarily a negative impact. there are going to be some positive impact, such as getting rid of Sudan dependency on oil!!!! i will elaborate more in two weeks from now!
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