Young Man Wisdom

Technorati Tags: USA , Khartoum , NCP , National Congress Party , SPLM it has been emerged that the USA is offering the government in Sudan to be taken off the states supporting terrorist list if it facilitate a smooth referendum for south Sudan. The question is what Obama administration is really offering the Sudanese people? to specific what is the offer for the northern? In simple term the USA is offering a life extension for a dictator radical party in north of Sudan in an exchange for, hopefully, a free democratic south Sudan with no major conflicts. The USA could not care less about the situation in the north as long as the NCP distant it self from radical groups and keeps its cooperation with CIA on fighting terrorist groups. This will only hurt the opposition movements and weaken them and make them think that the only way to make the NCP respond to their demand is by drawing the USA attention, and the best way to do this is by starting an armed conflict. so Darfur confl...

Technorati Tags: abyei , africa , civil war , darfur , independence , khartoum , ncp , splm , south sudan , southern sudan , sudan A recent article regarding Sudan referendum by Rami Khouri showed how little knowledge the Arab elite knows about Sudan. I have to be honest and declare that  i have not read the whole article. This is remarkable because it may be the only explicit and credible case of Arab people exercising the opportunity to define their country’s shape and its ideological orientation. It is after this part when I stopped reading, it was clear to me that the author has no clue about Sudan. First of all, the people who are going to decide if they want to remain within Sudan or have their own country are not Arab! the majority of them are of African ethnicity which played a big role in the north-south civil war and the war in Darfur now. I agree with him in regard to the idea that none of the Arab states chosen their boarders, it was made by France and ...

one of the important issue need to be sorted before the independence of the south ( which is just a mater of time) is the fate of southern in the north mainly in Khartoum . during the civil war many southern were forced by the war to move to the north. they live in displaced camps scattered around the capital. the last censes estimate their population to be around 500,000 but many observers regard this figure as underestimation and they estimate their population to reach around 2 to millions at least. Sadly, in the last few days couple of statements came from NCP members including members in government, painted a dark picture for the fate of southern in the north. for example they would become foreigner instantly if the southern voted for independence. Recent roamers from khartoum is that southern in the north are apply for nationality and sudanese passport while in the same time there is instructions in the ministry of home affairs to delay the process if not to prevent it. ...

  The question is not whether south Sudan is going for independence or not, the question is what is going to happen after the month of January next year! everyone seems to be expecting the worse! the UN is already preparing for crisis when the south chooses independence. The international crisis group has predicted that the boarder between the two nation is going to be a cause of tension specially when it come to people movement between the two sides. I will focus on what i would expect to happen in the north mainly. There are very strange phenomena that is happening in the north, first the NCP suddenly woke up to the possibility of independent south Sudan! and it is trying to insure southern vote for unity in the coming four months, let us not forget the party had almost whole five years to do so and only now it start to take action against northern who raise their demand for the separation of south Sudan(alintibaha news paper). the second thing worth mention is some out o...

  I know everyone now is concerned with referendum and likely separation of south Sudan but let us go back to the election period and have a look on this video. Recently there has been this movement called “Girifna” which in Arabic means “we are fed up”, I know it sounds strange that one world translate into three worlds in English. Since the aftermath of the election the movement seems to be getting weaker and lost momentum! i guess it was inspired by arising hope of change and the possibility  that there will be a new face for Sudan politics, but the hope was shattered by the announcement of Bashir victory.  Did anyone hear anything since that time about Girifna? you can find them at http://www.girifna.com/ Sudanese Elections: Music & the Vote with NasJota and Girifna from Michal Shapiro on Vimeo . Girifna Related articles by Zemanta Activists, Journalists Increasingly Threatened in Sudan (humanrights.change.org) Sudan suspends BBC A...

There will be big changes in the north after election. The National Congress Party (NCP) will be in control of most, if not all, power positions. The NCP does not care if the result of the election is recognised by the international community as legitimate. The party will be happy with the trade off it reached with SPLM , You have your referendum and we have the north. Opposition parties would still weak and unable to mobilize the community against NCP, not because the public support NCP but mainly because they lost faith in Opposition parties. Yasir Arman was recognised by many as change and an alternative to the traditional leaders in the north, specially among the youth, but his draw was a disappointment for them. The NCP will continue to crack down on freedom of expression in the north. It will monopolise the market and maximise its profit. The dangerous alliance between money and religious stream will continue and this can only lead to more corruption. Will the NCP hold January ...

Sudan current situation is really a mess, at the time when everyone was hoping the elections may be the magic key which lift the country from its deep problems and lead the way to a new era of peace and prosperity, instead the election in it self become a problem and an obstacle to stabilisation. It seems the NCP is heading for a landslide victory in northern states where Bashir somehow managed to get all the votes, and SPLM is taking over south Sudan. The reaction to the election process ranged from pure fraud as described by opposition including SPLM, to below international standards as described by international bodies, or completely fair and just as the NCP states. So far there is no results yet, the National Election Committee still waiting for the numbers to be submitted from south Sudan. Bashir and NCP will win in North, SPLM take over south Sudan, and the opposition now is out of the game. The coming few months will be crucial for Sudan stability. In the coming few posts I wi...