Young Man Wisdom

  The question is not whether south Sudan is going for independence or not, the question is what is going to happen after the month of January next year! everyone seems to be expecting the worse! the UN is already preparing for crisis when the south chooses independence. The international crisis group has predicted that the boarder between the two nation is going to be a cause of tension specially when it come to people movement between the two sides. I will focus on what i would expect to happen in the north mainly. There are very strange phenomena that is happening in the north, first the NCP suddenly woke up to the possibility of independent south Sudan! and it is trying to insure southern vote for unity in the coming four months, let us not forget the party had almost whole five years to do so and only now it start to take action against northern who raise their demand for the separation of south Sudan(alintibaha news paper). the second thing worth mention is some out o...

  I know everyone now is concerned with referendum and likely separation of south Sudan but let us go back to the election period and have a look on this video. Recently there has been this movement called “Girifna” which in Arabic means “we are fed up”, I know it sounds strange that one world translate into three worlds in English. Since the aftermath of the election the movement seems to be getting weaker and lost momentum! i guess it was inspired by arising hope of change and the possibility  that there will be a new face for Sudan politics, but the hope was shattered by the announcement of Bashir victory.  Did anyone hear anything since that time about Girifna? you can find them at http://www.girifna.com/ Sudanese Elections: Music & the Vote with NasJota and Girifna from Michal Shapiro on Vimeo . Girifna Related articles by Zemanta Activists, Journalists Increasingly Threatened in Sudan (humanrights.change.org) Sudan suspends BBC A...

There will be big changes in the north after election. The National Congress Party (NCP) will be in control of most, if not all, power positions. The NCP does not care if the result of the election is recognised by the international community as legitimate. The party will be happy with the trade off it reached with SPLM , You have your referendum and we have the north. Opposition parties would still weak and unable to mobilize the community against NCP, not because the public support NCP but mainly because they lost faith in Opposition parties. Yasir Arman was recognised by many as change and an alternative to the traditional leaders in the north, specially among the youth, but his draw was a disappointment for them. The NCP will continue to crack down on freedom of expression in the north. It will monopolise the market and maximise its profit. The dangerous alliance between money and religious stream will continue and this can only lead to more corruption. Will the NCP hold January ...

Sudan current situation is really a mess, at the time when everyone was hoping the elections may be the magic key which lift the country from its deep problems and lead the way to a new era of peace and prosperity, instead the election in it self become a problem and an obstacle to stabilisation. It seems the NCP is heading for a landslide victory in northern states where Bashir somehow managed to get all the votes, and SPLM is taking over south Sudan. The reaction to the election process ranged from pure fraud as described by opposition including SPLM, to below international standards as described by international bodies, or completely fair and just as the NCP states. So far there is no results yet, the National Election Committee still waiting for the numbers to be submitted from south Sudan. Bashir and NCP will win in North, SPLM take over south Sudan, and the opposition now is out of the game. The coming few months will be crucial for Sudan stability. In the coming few posts I wi...

South Sudan: Can This Be the World's Newest Nation? - TIME

The moves by SPLM did not leave any room for ordinary people in the north of Sudan but to perceive SPLM as true partner for NCP in weakening northern parties. After all NCP does not give a dam about south Sudan separation and this is the only one thing that SPLM think of. NCP will tolerate losing oil resources in exchange of full control of the north and normal relations with the USA. Related articles by Zemanta Sudan: Lesser of two evils | Editorial (guardian.co.uk) Sudan presidential candidate urges boycott (cnn.com) US envoy holds Sudan crisis talks (news.bbc.co.uk) SPLM sold out opposition (ymw3.blogspot.com)

This article in the Guardian expose the true stand of SPLM regarding the issue of election. I guess SPLM can not claim any more that it represent the whole Sudan. Sudan: Lesser of two evils | Editorial | Comment is free | The Guardian